Continuing with our Let’s Make America Smart Again series, we turn our attention towards NASA: where they’ve been, what are they’re doing now, and where they plan to go in the future. Neil deGrasse Tyson and comic co-host Chuck Nice answer fan-submitted Cosmic Queries about NASA and its endeavors with the help of Ellen Stofan, former chief scientist at NASA, who was a part of numerous interplanetary missions during her tenure and who specializes in planetary geology and volcanology. You’ll hear Ellen’s thoughts on NASA’s global role in the future and how private/public partnerships will play out once humans colonize Mars and continue traveling deeper into the solar system. You’ll learn about NASA’s funding and how micro-increases in budget could drastically accelerate the process of getting humans to Mars and beyond. Get the details on possible plans for NASA to send missions to the inner planets. Find out if everyone is on board for a mission to Mars, and whether we should return to the Moon at all.
Our trio ponder the notion that the United States needs to be challenged, à la a Space Race, to provide a kick start to space exploration activities. Also find out where commercial space exploration will stake its claim in the solar system, and what the future holds for the International Space Station. You’ll also explore the growing problem of space junk and discover what NASA mission Ellen wanted to have greenlit that ended up being turned down.
NOTE: The extended content within this episode was originally published on the Origin YouTube Channel in connection with the launch of their new sci fi thriller series about colonizing exoplanets, Origin. You can watch the original segment, as well as other extra content and the series itself, here on their YouTube Originals channel.
Transcript
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Welcome to StarTalk, your place in the universe where science and pop culture collide. StarTalk begins right now. Welcome to StarTalk. I'm your host, Neil deGrasse Tyson, your personal astrophysicist. And we are right now recording this episode of StarTalk...
Welcome to StarTalk, your place in the universe where science and pop culture collide.
StarTalk begins right now.
Welcome to StarTalk.
I'm your host, Neil deGrasse Tyson, your personal astrophysicist.
And we are right now recording this episode of StarTalk from the Mashable World Headquarters right here in New York City.
And in this latest installment of our new sort of sub-series of StarTalk called Let's Make America Smart Again.
We have my co-host today, Chuck Nice.
Hey.
All right, dude.
You also host a spinoff of StarTalk, which I'm still getting into, called Playing With Science.
Playing With Science, right?
Does your mama know you're playing with science?
What are you doing down there?
Yeah, no, it's a sports science mashup show where we interview.
Because we've had sports guests.
All the time?
All the time on flagship StarTalk.
And it had whole followings unto themselves.
So we took that and spun it off.
Does that mean you're not giving me any sports athletes anymore?
No, no, it just means that when we have athletes, you'll come on the show.
That's all.
No, that's good.
It's good to know that StarTalk.
So we're doing that and we also have-
So science and sports.
Science and sports.
And then for everything, we also have startalkallaccess.com where we have exclusive original content, like something that you and I did, which by the way, I'm gonna put a clip of that.
You filmed that?
Ha ha ha ha!
That was good.
But, and by the way, the thing we did, it's called Have You Touched My Meteorite?
You don't remember that when we were in your office?
Okay, I'm gonna send you the clip of this.
He's denying it.
I deny the allegation and I deny the alligator.
I'm gonna send you the clip, but you gotta put it on Twitter if I send it to you.
It's me, it's we're in your office.
We're having a conversation.
And so, this is so funny.
In the middle of the conversation, you go, wait a minute, have you touched my meteorite?
I said that?
Yes, and I went, no.
And then you're like, would you like to?
And I was like, hell yeah, I thought you never asked.
That's true, I do stash a couple of meteorites.
Actually, it was very cool, but not for that.
It does to everybody?
I know, everybody ought to or should.
So for this edition of Let's Make America Smart Again, we're gonna talk about the future of NASA.
And so we brought in an expert on, I mouth off about NASA, but there are very few experts on this, and we've got one with us, Ellen Stofan.
And you're the former chief scientist at NASA.
That's correct.
That sounds like a badass business card.
Yeah, I'm chief.
By the way, I would just walk around all the time.
Just, hi, yes, double latte, chief scientist at NASA.
Oh, when they ask your name.
That's what they write on the side.
Right, when they say.
And who is this for?
Chief scientist, NASA.
So your background is a planetary geologist.
That's correct.
Very cool.
And so thanks for helping us out.
Oh, happy to be here.
And so this is a Cosmic Queries version of Let's Make America Smart Again.
Absolutely.
And so we're gonna just take questions.
They've been pre-solicited from our fan base and social media typically.
And these are questions about NASA and where it's coming, where it's going.
And just to be clear, you're no longer the chief scientist.
You've left that post.
That's right.
I stepped down in December at the end of the administration and so now I'm trying to figure out what to do next.
The man whose name goes unmentioned.
Right.
The administration.
The administration.
What was your academic post before NASA?
Before that, I worked for a small group of people at a company called Proxmi Research and I did research on Venus.
I'm a member of the Cassini radar team.
You did research on Earth about Venus.
Oh, correct.
It's a little hot on Venus.
So, I study volcanoes on-
I went to on Venus.
I study volcanoes on Venus, Mars, Earth and one of the moons of Saturn called Titan.
Nice.
So, you're a vulcanologist.
That is correct.
Vulcanologist.
Are you out of your vulcan mind?
That's the line from Star Trek.
You're out of your vulcan mind?
Damn it, man.
It's almost as good as chief scientist, but not quite.
So, just to let the audience know, there's certain positions at NASA that are appointed and that they rotate so that you're not a career civil servant in that post.
That's right.
The chief technologist and the chief scientist usually come in for two to three years, advise the NASA administrator on policy across the agency.
NASA administrator is the highest ranking person.
The administrator is appointed by the president.
And doesn't sound nearly as cool as chief scientist.
That's for sure.
I mean, it's just like, what do you do?
I'm the administrator of NASA, and you, I'm the chief scientist.
Done with you, let's talk to you.
That's right, exactly.
Except Charlie Bolden is the coolest person around.
So, he could get away with that.
We've had him on StarTalk, it was great, great.
He deployed the Hubble Telescope, so we got.
That's right, that's right.
You know, if you've been to space, you've got stories.
I think that's pretty cool.
Yeah, that's pretty cool.
So, presumably you've thought about the past, present and future of NASA.
Would you say NASA's on track in all the ways NASA wants to be on track?
NASA's on track.
Well, let me say that another way.
We all have ideas of what NASA should be doing.
Is NASA doing it?
I think so.
But there's always a caveat there because NASA's part of the executive branch, it gets its direction from the president, but then Congress ultimately decides on NASA's budget.
And so there's always this tension between what does the president want, what does Congress want, and does that bear any resemblance towards what's really important to NASA, which is moving humans out beyond Earth, exploring this planet, exploring the solar system, the sun, the universe.
And not to mention one other small thing, this planet, which is the most important planet to all of us.
So how are those resources being spent?
How are they divided up?
And that's the tension.
Sometimes it's good tension, but it sounds like generally it's not.
Well, no, I think it is in general a good tension because obviously if you look back over the history of NASA, at the time of Apollo, NASA was about 4% of the federal budget.
Right now, NASA's about 0.4% of the federal budget.
And so that means you have to make choices.
NASA still wants to invest in aeronautics.
It's 1-tenth the commitment of the country.
That's amazing.
You know, so to someone like me, I would say, let's go wild and make NASA 0.6% of the federal budget.
That would be a huge amount of money.
It's 50% increase.
Yeah, huge amount of money for NASA, but really not that, still that much of the federal budget.
And to me, NASA's doing a lot of amazing things, and those things actually benefit us every day.
I said, let's just go to a penny while we're at it.
We're going to raise it from 0.4.
Right, just go to 1%, right?
Just take it up to a penny, and we're good.
Yeah, we're good to go.
Yeah, exactly.
We'd have humans on Mars very quickly, if that were the case.
And you'd be doing the backstroke on titans.
That's right.
That's right.
Nice, nice, I like every part of that except the smell.
We'd be finding life around the solar system.
We'd be exploring planets around other stars.
We'd be making huge advances.
And again, for people who say, oh, that's a waste of money, those, when you push for technology, you benefit our economy, you have spin-offs that affect our lives in amazing ways.
So let me ask you-
Wait, just unclear, since we have so, I think methane is odorless.
You know, you're right, they add that odor to it.
Yeah.
So that you can smell it.
Yeah, so the reason why you thought it smelled is because, because I dealt it.
That's why, that's why I thought I smelt it.
You're contributing to global warming.
Absolutely.
You smelt it, dealt it.
So I think it's hydrogen sulfide has that rotten egg smell mixed in with the methane.
Right, but I wouldn't expect nothing less from you.
I don't presume, but if I think I'm not letting you get by with saying that you don't want to go doing a backstroke on the methane lakes of Titan because of the smell.
No, you're right.
It just doesn't work as a joke when I say in the odorless methane lakes with the hydrogen sulfide additives.
That one doesn't work.
Well, it's about 92 degrees Kelvin on Titan.
So it'd be a cold swim for you.
But my real question is, is there anything else swimming in those seas besides you?
Nice, right.
Well, it will be once I get out of the water.
If it's that cold.
Okay.
All right, what questions you have?
All right, let's jump into it.
And as we always do, we start with our Patreon.
Patrons' questions, because they support us financially.
So it's a whole go-to page on our website that where you can, and it was a little mysterious to me for a long time, Patreon, because I thought, is this just another thing where they're just asking for money?
But you actually, there are some kickbacks.
There are some kickbacks.
No, the kickbacks at every level.
Absolutely.
You're actually buying access.
You're buying access to the program.
Just like, for instance, if you were a Russian businessman and you wanted to, I don't know, gain some influence.
You know, it's the same type of deal.
So, yeah, there's two ways to support the show financially.
If you're so inclined, one is Patreon and the other is startalkallaccess.com where we have, we'll create all kinds of exclusive original content plus everything that we do and the money goes back into what we do so that we do.
Well, what it does is we use it to do innovative things that can't otherwise be justified by the business model at that time.
Absolutely.
And so we can grow whole new branches.
And that's what we're doing.
That's what we're doing.
And it's working.
And you put it so much better than I gotta remember what you just said there because that's what it is.
So anyway, here's our Patreon question from Chris Ryu.
Chris wants to know this.
Hey, let's fast forward a decade or even a few and imagine a permanent Mars colony.
Assuming that NASA was responsible, what changes do you think there would be to the role of NASA globally?
Would it perhaps take on a more worldwide role?
Would it become maybe WASA?
And that's Chris from the Atomic Club or the Atom Club in Strumenster, Newton, United Kingdom.
Ooh.
Well, first of all, I think before we actually have a colony on Mars, it's gonna be a little bit more than a decade or two because those first journeys to Mars with humans, which will probably be in the early 2030s for an orbital mission, hopefully down onto the surface soon after that, to really.
Soon after you mean other missions.
So the mission that first goes into orbit is not gonna be the one that lands.
I don't think it'll be the one that lands because that entry, descent, and landing on Mars with humans is so hard because the Mars atmosphere is so thin, so we're hoping to get humans down on the surface by the mid to late 2030s to really have people there for sustained long periods of time, I think we're maybe three or four decades away from that, but it's already gonna be a world wide effort, I don't know if I wanna call it WASA, but already NASA is actually working, there's 16 space agencies that are working on this.
How do we send humans beyond low Earth orbit?
Space agencies in different countries.
Yeah, so the typical ones people have heard of, maybe European Space Agency, the Russian Space Agency, the Japanese Space Agency, but we've got space agencies from South Korea, emerging space agencies from Africa who are participating.
India as well.
India.
So it already is a global effort.
Not only that, I don't think it's just going to be a government effort.
It's going to be public-private partnerships.
And we already see things like SpaceX with Red Dragon sort of moving forward, though it's not clear what the exact timeline on Red Dragon is right now.
But I think it's going to take kind of everybody participating to actually make it happen.
So are you saying that that first colony will not be NASA and American tax moneys?
It'll be a collaboration the way this questioner is asking.
I think it will be a collaboration.
But I think there will be, I hope, America continues to lead.
We've always led, but that doesn't mean we can't have partners.
And so I hope we continue to lead.
I hope there is a US base on Mars eventually.
And I think a lot of people do envision it sort of like Antarctica, where there's a US base, a British base, but I'm actually hoping we all live together internationally like we do up on the International Space Station.
That's sort of the dream in partnership.
That's very wishful thinking there.
Also, I want to differ with something you just said.
You said we've always led, but I think we only really led after maybe 1968.
Oh, good point, yes.
Because we were the first in space.
They had Sputnik.
They had the first satellite.
They had the first non-human animal.
They had the first human.
They had the first woman.
They had the first black person, a Cuban.
They had the first space station.
First landings on Venus.
They actually had the first photo of Earthrise on the Moon, which wasn't released until after our photo was.
So we were reactive to so much of what Russia did, leaving me to wonder that if Russia never went there, whether we would have ever had a space program in the first place.
I think we may have eventually, but it would have come much slower.
And so there's an interesting parallel going on with that right now, as you see the rise of the Chinese space program.
A lot going on in China right now.
They're getting ready to put their space station off.
We just need to be kicked in the ass.
You know, if that's what it takes to get us to Mars, which reflects back to your first question about, is NASA on the right track?
We're on the right track to get humans to Mars, that whole plan I talked about, but it could easily go off the rails.
And so in my mind, maybe it takes a little incentive by competing with foreign nations to keep us on track.
I like that train reference with referencing rockets.
It might go off the rails.
By the way, if we can get a train to Mars, I'm there.
That's a great ride right there.
What else you got?
All right, here we go.
Hey, along the same line, this is Gunnar Kane from Facebook says, do you think NASA will lose significant funding in the near future since we're talking about all these grandiose plans, especially with competition?
And if so, what will NASA, what research will be halted first?
And I would like to add to that, what are we doing in terms of public-private partnerships?
Because if we're losing funding, are we supplementing that in some way?
Or is it when we pull funding away, that's the end of it?
Programs are shut down.
Yeah, NASA hasn't been losing funding actually.
Over the last several years, our budget has gone up over the president's request.
It's barely keeping pace with inflation, but it is going up when lots of other parts of the federal budget are going down.
That's because NASA still continues to have huge bipartisan support in Congress.
Because it has 10 centers, half of which are in blue states, the other half are in red states.
That's the way to do it.
It continues to have a lot of support.
What again though, the subtleties are, for example, I testified in February before a Congressional hearing on the future of NASA.
There was a lot of talk by some members about, do we need to refocus NASA's budget?
Do we need to focus NASA on what it should be doing?
That's a bit of code for why is NASA doing Earth science?
That's when I start to get worried.
It's not only the absolute number, it's how is that money spread around?
To me, NASA's Earth science budget is an extremely important part.
If we don't measure what's going on on this planet, we're not going to understand it.
Because Earth, after all, is a planet.
It is a planet.
Yes.
In case you didn't know that.
We have time for one more before we go to break.
All right.
Let's make this very, let's make this interesting.
Chad Thompson would like to know this.
Could NASA be the precursor to something like the Star Trek Federation?
Which is really kind of cool.
I mean, now you spoke to that kind of briefly, but is there a concerted effort to bring these agencies together globally?
There is.
There's again, there's something called the Global Exploration Roadmap.
You can Google it.
All these space agencies, the heads of all the international space agencies get together several times a year and meet and say, what are we doing?
How can we work together?
How can we, you know, everybody's got limited resources, so it's better to work together.
And so, you know, if you look at the space station, people have suggested it should be nominated for a Peace Prize.
You know, it's literally higher ground where we can get along.
And to me, if we can keep space in that realm, the better off we're going to be.
Space station is the greatest collaboration of nations outside of the waging of war.
Look at the budget.
God, that is so discouraging.
I mean, it's heartening in one respect that we can get together and do things.
So there's the Olympics, there's the World Cup, and there's a space station.
If you look at the budget that drives these, the space station is a greater budget and a greater sort of total investment.
And the only other time nations get together like that is to kill one another.
Yeah.
We are awful.
You know that?
Human beings, you suck.
You suck.
This is...
This is why we should fear AI.
Because when it achieves consciousness, it will be clear to it that we just have no right to be alive at all.
It will be its first task.
Let me tell you something.
I have no intelligence at all and I still agree with that.
We're done with this segment.
When we come back, more of our Cosmic Queries edition of Let's Make America Smart Again.
We're back, StarTalk.
We're talking about the future of NASA in this edition of Let's Make America Smart Again.
I'm your host, Neil deGrasse Tyson.
I've got my co-host, Chuck Nice, tweeting at ChuckNiceComic.
Thank you, sir, yes.
All right, and I've got with us, since we're talking about the future of NASA, we got somebody who has just been working for NASA for the last several years in the capacity of chief scientist.
I've got Ellen Stofan here, Ellen.
Hey, nice to be here.
Thanks for coming.
Not your first time on StarTalk.
Not my first time, but always happy to be here.
Excellent, excellent, we love this.
And so, Chuck, you've been soliciting queries.
Yes, I have, from all over the internet.
About the future of NASA, so let's see.
And in this, again, our goal here is to imagine a smarter America going forward.
So let's see, what do you have here?
All right, so Anna Jesus coming to us from Facebook would like to know this.
What is the main difference between NASA and SpaceX in terms of what they would like to achieve in space exploration in the near and far future?
And let me add to that, what is the chief purpose of NASA or what is NASA's mission statement?
Well, I should be able to quote NASA's mission statement from memory, but I can't.
But it's basically to understand our world, our solar system, our universe, and to use technology to move humans beyond Earth.
That is really, if you want to sum it up, that's NASA's mission, exploration, knowledge.
So SpaceX is a contractor to NASA.
NASA has lots of industry partners.
SpaceX is one of them.
They launch cargo up to the International Space Station.
Starting next year, they'll launch crew up to the International Space Station from Florida.
So they're one of many contractors.
Now, obviously, SpaceX has obviously stated that they want to see humans on Mars.
NASA wants to see humans on Mars.
So our goals are actually really aligned.
And we have a partnership with SpaceX to help them land one of their Dragon capsules on Mars.
And I'm excited because they've done a lot of work on entry, descent and landing that will hopefully make it able for us to land humans sooner.
You said earlier that one of the challenges is that Mars has a thin atmosphere.
Could you detail why that's more of a challenge to EDL, entry, descent, land than on Earth?
Our atmosphere is much denser.
So if people haven't seen, there's a great video that JPL put together before the Curiosity rover.
Before the Curiosity rover landed called Seven Minutes of Terror.
And it basically takes seven minutes when you're coming in from a trajectory from Earth to get from the top of the atmosphere to the surface.
So you have to slow yourself way, way, way, way down.
You've got good speed to get there.
Now you gotta eat up that speed somehow.
Yeah, and to absorb that speed coming, the atmosphere is just not helping you very much, but it's heating you up, which is bad.
So you've gotta find some way to slow yourself down.
So Curiosity weighed one metric ton, and we used a combination of-
On Earth.
Unless if that's the mass, was it a mass of a thousand kilograms?
Yeah, so we used a heat shield, parachutes, this bizarre thing called a sky crane to land it on the surface.
We estimate for humans, you're gonna need 20 to 40 metric tons landed on the surface.
And the more you can bunch that into single landings, the cheaper it is, so there's issues with that.
So how are you gonna slow yourself coming down?
You're gonna have to use something called supersonic retro propulsion, which basically means-
Sounds like it hurts.
It does, because you're firing retro rockets while you're going at supersonic speeds, which causes all kinds of turbulence.
Everything you're shooting out the back comes back at your spacecraft at supersonic speeds, so it's a crazy thing.
SpaceX has actually been working on it.
Oh, that's right.
So if you're moving supersonically and you try to put retro exhaust in front of you, you overtake the exhaust.
Exactly.
That's so wild.
Yeah, yeah, that's wild.
Yeah, so it's complicated.
To say the least.
So we just have work to do.
So, and it's not that it's an insurmountable, oh my gosh, we can't ever send humans to Mars, it's too hard.
And it frustrates me sometimes, I'll see commentary of saying, oh, we just need to stick at the moon.
Mars is too hard.
Mars is not too hard, we can figure it out.
Yeah, just any engineer would froth at the mouth to have the opportunity to solve these problems.
Exactly, and again, when you solve tough problems like that, you're stretching technology, you're stretching computational skills.
You're patenting.
You're patenting stuff.
You're spinning off stuff into our economy right here on earth.
Give me another one.
All right, here we go.
This is Jeff Sauce Tourette's.
And Jeff says, Chuck, you have butchered my name two times.
I'd like to clear the record.
It's sauce like spaghetti and tourette's like the syndrome.
Sauce Tourette's, thank you.
Thank you, Jeff, for phonetically clarifying your name.
Here's what he wants to know.
What is the average age and education of a NASA employee?
Is the demographic getting younger or older over the years?
So are we attracting people to NASA?
By the way, we all saw the video of the launch and return of the first stage in the SpaceX rocket.
And you see mission control for SpaceX.
There's nobody there over 30.
There's one old fart who's 40 in the corner looking around like this.
Everybody else who's jumping and hooting and hollering, if they're 35, so that skews young, it looks to me.
It does skew young.
And if you look at our NASA centers, which again, we have nine NASA centers plus our federally funded research and development center, the Jet Propulsion Laboratory making 10 around the country.
Is that how it rolls?
If you're in the loop.
If you're in the loop.
You still struggle.
I almost, it almost rolled off, you know what I mean?
It's hard to get it to roll off.
I need to know more about the FFRDC.
The average age is about 52 to 56, depending on the center.
Now part of that is because we have people who don't want to leave.
They love what they do, they're still productive.
We've had scientists who are still, you know, writing significant papers in their 80s.
So that does tend to hurt your statistics.
On the other hand, you know...
I know it was in the 60s, everyone just died at age 60.
That was it.
Well, kind of.
So...
We have people who don't like to retire.
They love what they do.
A lot of smoking and a lot of ham consumption.
Ham was a big part of American diet back then.
Every holiday, everything.
Everything, yeah.
And then when you didn't have ham, you had spam.
Really?
But we're healthier now.
I told my son that spam was food.
And he said, what, Danny?
What?
Dad, you're eating emails that you don't want?
We've also had periods of time where the federal government has hiring freezes on and so, and NASA downsized when the shuttle program ended.
So all of that's combined to make our federal workforce older and we need more younger people in there.
When you have a hiring freeze, but it applies to NASA, it's a brain freeze.
Is that good?
Yes, exactly.
I'm going to give you a B plus on that one.
No, no, no.
No, it's a brain freeze.
It's a brain freeze.
If it applies to NASA, it's a brain freeze because you're not bringing in fresh brain blood.
Which means that those resources are being allocated someplace else, most likely Wall Street.
Yeah.
Right.
And the other thing is, though, you really want that mix of ages because we've got people who really know how to land on Mars.
We have people who know how to keep humans up in space safe.
So you need that kind of wisdom and you need the fresh blood coming in that's going to carry that forward.
You also need a culture where fresh blood who is not biased by how you always did do it can be open to a new idea.
Exactly.
And that need for innovation is something that we worked on a lot over the last couple years at NASA.
How do we ensure that we're the most innovative?
As a 50 year plus old agency, you really do worry about, are you being the most innovative?
And NASA worries about that.
Interesting.
I know the age of NASA because it was founded the same week I was born.
1958.
So I feel the pain.
Yeah.
He feels that lack of innovation.
Whatever Neil calls NASA, the message is, I'm your father.
Brad Carrico from Facebook would like to know this.
Does NASA have a future solution to the growing space junk problem?
So are you guys working on this?
NASA's working on it.
Where does space junk come from?
Space junk is because over the last 50 plus years, we put a lot of stuff up there.
Some of it has broken up.
So there are actually even like old stages of rockets, pieces of spacecraft.
There was an occasion a couple of years ago where two spacecraft ran into each other and it created a whole lot more pieces of debris.
So there's just a lot of stuff up there.
Now it slowly, slowly deorbits, but we do worry about it.
A couple of times a year, they have to move the International Space Station slightly to avoid space junk, other satellites.
We have to watch when we launch things to say, is there anything else on the path?
Now, space is big, so this isn't anything to panic over, but space agencies around the world and private companies are looking at how do we literally vacuum that stuff up?
And people have, I've seen proposals of...
Wait, the space station is not a particularly nimble thing.
No, it is not.
And it's not even sort of structurally...
I mean...
My two arms are like the solar panels.
And it's...
If you push over here, this will bend, but you're not going to push the whole...
So you're telling me they do avoidance maneuvers with the International Space Station so they don't run into somebody's shoe or whatever piece of debris was left in space?
They do.
And they've even had rare occasions where they've realized there was debris approaching the space station and they haven't had time, because obviously to do a maneuver, you have to plan this out.
This isn't something you want to be like, oh yeah, let's move, you know.
No.
So there have been times where the astronauts have actually retreated into the Soyuz capsule and waited out a potential debris encounter.
Don't you love the way that's phrased?
A potential debris encounter, something crashing into the space station.
Death, yeah, death.
NASA for death.
But it's avoided.
I mean, the space station, if you looked at it closely, it's got little pings and pockmarks all over it from little tiny pieces of debris hitting it at 17,000 miles an hour.
And so that creates little problems.
But so far, to get back to your question, yeah, yeah, no problem, no problem.
17,000 mile an hour debris.
Yeah, that's all.
But that's why it's getting old.
And at some point, we will have to deorbit the space station.
Right now, it's funded through about 24.
By about 28, this, for example, the solar...
2024.
2024.
So by about 2028, a lot of the systems will be degrading, especially the solar panels, which are getting pinged by this micro debris all the time.
So when we deorbit that, who puts a new one up there?
When do we do that?
You know, that's a great question.
And so there's this big, what is going to happen to low Earth orbit after the space station?
Is it going, if you talk to NASA, they would like it to be the commercial, the private sector that moves in private space stations, a place for private space companies, Blue Origin, SpaceX, Orbital ATK.
Let's find the private sector going to low Earth orbit.
As imagined in the film 2001, there was Howard Johnson's up there, Pan Am ran the shuttle, Pan Am for those of the younger of our audience, a former airline company.
It's the Virgin America before America was a Virgin.
That's basically what it was.
If you really get underneath that, NASA spends about $3 billion a year on the International Space Station.
If we want to send humans to Mars, we want to take that $3 billion and start building what will be the Mars transfer vehicle, what humans will go in on that journey to Mars.
If they have to keep spending it on the space station, there's not going to be no money to go beyond low Earth orbit.
Couldn't we just have another $3 billion?
That's what I would look at.
That would be a great solution, wouldn't it?
Then we wouldn't have to worry about this.
But as it is, there's not enough money to do both right now.
There is not.
So NASA's budget plans for moving humans to Mars count on the space station budget declining through the mid 2020s and zeroing out in the late 2020s.
Okay, I'm sorry, I have to ask this, since you were there, and this all sounds highly political to me because you're talking about budgetary issues.
But isn't there a way to take the billions of dollars that are going into Lockheed Martins making a fighter jet that we do not need or tanks that we are building that the government that the, I'm sorry, the military has said, we do not want them, but yet, because it's a jobs program, we have to make them anyway.
Couldn't we just find a way to shift this money over to NASA so that, I mean, there's clearly inherent benefits and discovery and technological advances that will be wrought from going to Mars as opposed to a tank that we're never going to use because we're never going to fight conventional warfare again.
We now have nuclear wars.
Anybody we're going to fight is going to have a nuclear warhead too, so we're not going to do that.
So why can't we just find a way to politically get the senator or the congressman to say, hey, look, we'll give you the money.
You just got to build whatever you're going to build over in my district.
Chuck Nice 2020.
I was going to say, are you ready to go up there and make America appreciate science more again?
I can't remember your...
Make America smart again.
There we go.
There we go.
What is the process at NASA to talk to these people?
Well, you know, NASA can't lobby Congress.
That's not actually allowed.
So outside supporters can talk to NASA.
I am flabbergasted.
NASA can't even advertise.
Yeah.
No, that's not...
You guys are killing me.
Are you kidding me?
No.
Just to be clear, what the military does when they have TV commercials during the Super Bowl is not...
That's not technically marketing.
Yeah.
They're recruiting.
Oh.
So what happened was when I was on one of my commissions, we were approached by an ad agency that wanted to create sort of public service spots for NASA to recruit.
Right.
To recruit scientists and engineers.
And the spirit of the Army, Navy, Air Force, Marines recruiting.
And that way you can justify commercial time for it.
And there's some of the most beautiful commercial I've ever seen.
And the tradition to do that is just not there.
Get out.
That is so sad.
It's almost as if our government has stacked the debt against what we should be doing.
No, but it sounds good the way it is.
But imagine that in a limit where it's out of control.
Because all it says is, we taxpayers elect officials who then establish budgets for agencies, the agency can't then market itself.
To ask for more budget.
To ask for more budget.
Okay, that makes sense.
Because it's a completely external activity from it.
I understand that.
So that's why.
That makes sense.
And while it won't feel good that NASA should be able to do it, in the limit, you don't really want that happening.
Okay, I got you.
No, that makes sense.
That's all.
Because, yeah, I don't want the agriculture department doing the same thing.
You want just NASA to do it.
Right.
I only want NASA to be able to do it.
So we got to take a quick break.
When we come back, more Cosmic Queries in the Let's Make America Smart Again edition of StarTalk.
We'll be back with Ellen Stofan, former chief scientist at NASA.
Not the lowly scientist.
Welcome back to StarTalk.
I'm your host, Neil deGrasse Tyson.
I serve as the Director of the Hayden Planetarium at the American Museum of Natural History, right here in New York City, if you didn't otherwise know that.
In any case, I'm your personal astrophysicist.
We've been talking with Ellen Stofan, former Chief Scientist of NASA, very just former.
Just former.
Like minutes ago, practically.
Six months.
Six minutes between.
Between the cosmic scale is yesterday and I got Chuck Nice, of course, doing cosmic queries.
Yes.
So we're thinking about the future of NASA in this Let's Make America Smart Again edition.
Yes, we are.
Of StarTalk.
So what do you have?
All right, so this is L-I-CH, I think.
L-I-CH, okay.
God, I think these people are making these names up and just sending them in to screw me, man.
All right, L.
Not everybody can be named Chuck.
Monosyllabic and super simple.
Chuck.
Anyway, who will get to Mars first?
Who will get a human to Mars first?
That's all they want to know is because clearly.
Earthlings.
Earthlings.
That's a great question.
Here's a real question.
Has it become like a space race?
Have we started the space race again?
No, I don't think we have.
And you know, again, I think people like to have a rhetoric around there being a space race, but I don't think there is.
So for Mars, again, Mars is hard.
It's not easy.
It's not impossible, but it's hard.
So I think when we get humans to Mars, you're going to see it.
You're going to have people from multiple space agencies.
You're going to have public private partnerships involved.
Now you could turn that question around for the moon, and that I think is a valid question because there's a lot of talk about human bases on the moon, commercial exploitation of the moon, and whether that happens or not, boy, I'm curious about that.
Is it going to be China putting humans on the moon?
Is it going to be Russia finally putting humans on the moon?
Is it going to be a private company?
And I'm leaning towards a private company doing it.
And so I think that's a debatable question.
Mars, it's going to be an international coalition with hopefully NASA taking the lead.
So does it help to, because everybody talks about a moon base, does it help us get to Mars?
Is it easier for us to get to Mars from the moon than it is for us to get to Mars from here?
So in other words, could the moon be a staging place to launch to go to Mars?
It's a great staging place because if you think about it, you're going to need a multiple module vehicle to get to Mars because you want to always have multiple modules in case something goes wrong with one of the modules.
You can seal it off and still have a safe place to retreat to.
So it's going to be something big that you're going to have to assemble on orbit.
Why not do that out in orbit around the moon where you can use a lunar gravity assist to get you ready to go to Mars?
So staging from lunar orbit makes sense from a gravitational assist point of view as well as just you're going to have to stage somewhere.
Why not do it there?
Just to be clear, you're not talking about staging from the lunar surface, which requires landing and ascending once again.
Staging from the lunar surface really doesn't make any sense because it's different technology to land on the moon.
The moon doesn't have an atmosphere, so you'd have to develop all these technologies specifically to land on the moon because frankly all those things we developed for Apollo are basically gone at this point.
We'd have to sort of start all over again.
So that's a whole lot of money.
Oh, that's hilarious.
They closed down the sound stage.
So I agree with you, but for different reasons.
I think we need to remind ourselves what it is to leave low Earth orbit.
And the moon becomes a very easy target that you can get to in a news cycle, right?
Just a few days.
How you doing?
Good.
You don't get bored with the trip.
Everybody there.
How you doing?
You land in four days.
You come back for dinner Sunday night.
And so this, I think we have to remind ourselves what that's like.
Yeah.
And without that, you just say we haven't been out of low Earth orbit in 40 years.
Now let's go to Mars.
That doesn't sound wise to me.
No, it's not wise.
And it also takes us out into what we call a mixed field radiation environment where we really don't have a lot of experience.
You're getting solar radiation from the sun and you're getting galactic cosmic radiation.
And normally shielded when we stay near to the Earth.
Exactly.
Exactly.
So to have a couple years out in that mixed field radiation environment where we can do some experiments with tissues, with cells, with model organisms like fruit flies to make sure, let's make sure we really understand the effects before we send humans all the way to Mars, eight months exposed to that radiation on the way there, eight months on the way back.
Right.
So it reminds me of a joke by Dick Gregory that he told back in the 60s.
Back in the 60s.
On the point of what effect does this radiation have on biological tissue.
Right.
He said when the chimp came back from space, and everyone was cheering, and they said, no, I wasn't cheering because I know that that was an actual astronaut.
They said, that's what happens when you go into space.
You come out looking like a chimp.
When we first sent things up into space, we had no idea what the effects would be.
After all this experience on the space station, we now know and we've worked on the ISS.
People say, what are those astronauts doing up there?
They're actually helping us find ways to keep humans healthy for that journey to Mars, the journey back to Mars.
But the one thing we still have a lot of worries about is this radiation issue.
And it's not something we can't work with, but we still need to know more about it.
And to the people who say, oh, we will never go to Mars because of the radiation, all I'm going to say is Mars is not as big of a challenge to us today as the moon was in 1960.
Think about that.
Yeah, that's true, because we went to the moon basically with the computing power of a Texas instrument calculator.
A little less than that.
Really?
I think it's like a singing greeting card or something.
You're kidding.
Someone was saying the other day, this flipped me out, that the Voyager spacecraft has about as much computer smarts as something in your pocket.
Your car key.
Because everyone instantly thinks it's your cell phone.
Right, but it's your car key.
You're kidding me.
The key fob of your car.
Oh, my God.
Oh, man.
Now, that is fascinating.
That is mind-blowing right there.
All right, here's John Cates from Facebook.
Thank you, John, for having a simple name.
He's just helping out.
Exactly.
He changed his name.
He changed his name just for this.
John wants to know this.
Does NASA have any space-capable drones?
Space-capable drones?
These would be drone rockets, I guess.
All drones we know of require air for buoyancy.
Right, and all our spacecraft are robotically controlled.
So they're all kind of drones anyway.
Most of what we do is robotically remotely controlled.
So pretty much all of NASA is space-capable drones.
So drone is everyone else's first encounter with a remote-controlled autonomous thing.
Now what he may be asking about, and I'm going to make his question into maybe not the question he wanted, was the Jet Propulsion Laboratory is working on a helicopter for Mars that you can think of as being like a drone that would fly here on Earth.
And a group from the Applied Physics Lab has proposed to one of the NASA mission programs to send basically a quadcopter to tighten Saturn's moon.
So people have been proposing to use drone-like, you know, what we would think of for drones here in Earth's atmosphere is to go explore planets with atmosphere.
Yeah, but if you send a remote-control helicopter to Mars, first it would need really big rotor blades because the atmosphere is so thin.
But now you want to remote-control it, you got issues.
What are the issues?
The big issues, there's about a 20, it depends on how far away Earth and Mars are, but you have an inherent relative to each other, but we have an inherent up to kind of 20-minute to a half-hour one-way trip time for a command.
So you send a command, yeah, it's just nothing can be done about it.
I have audiences all the time saying, can you fix that?
No, and then they'll say, no, really, can't you fix it?
No, it's called the speed of light.
No, I can't fix that.
Exactly, can't fix that.
So you have to have basically computer program sequences to command it.
There's no real-time joy-sticking.
And this is where AI comes into play, because you would have to equip the drone with the capability of recognizing terrain and situations and then be capable of making decisions on its own.
AI gets to Mars and you say, do you need my help?
No, we got this.
Yeah, exactly.
I'm good, I'm good.
So think of it for humans, because now all of a sudden, Houston, we have a problem and you're going to wait 20 minutes and you'll hear back, what?
Or can you clarify?
There's none of that.
So you really do need AI.
You need friendly how, as I call it.
It's 20 minutes, right?
Yeah, so yeah.
It's 20 minutes there, 20 minutes, so it's a 45 minute.
So basically AI is, Houston, we had a problem, but it's all taken care of.
Yeah, we solved it.
Exactly, exactly.
And just think of that, though, on the other side for human mental health.
You haven't seen your family in seven months and you call your spouse and you say, honey, how are you doing?
And 20 minutes later you hear, or sorry, 40 minutes later you hear, what?
Oh no, that's my marriage right now.
I ain't got to wait to go to Mars.
That's called my household every morning.
So there's no witty repartee when you're traveling through depths of space.
They're not ignoring you.
They're just focused on something else.
And there is nothing, right, and like you said, that's the speed of light, so there is no subspace communication.
That's why people ask you, can you fix it?
They're all Star Trek fans, like myself, and they want to know, how do I get subspace communications where I can talk to somebody in real time across the galaxy?
There's no episode of Star Trek where there's a time delay between communications.
Exactly.
No, there's not.
Then we can time for one more question.
All right.
With all the buzz about Mars, because we've been talking about it, you're an open-endencephalologist, does NASA have any interest in looking towards the inner planets like Mercury or Venus?
And I know you used to study Venus.
Oh, man.
Dr.
Funky Spoon and I are old Venus pals.
Funky Spoon is one of our StarTalk all-stars.
So Venus is the Earth gone bad.
A lot of the times we refer to it as the Earth's evil twin.
So made of about the same material.
What's wrong with you?
I just fell in love with Venus.
It's like Venus is the Earth gone bad.
You stay away from Venus.
You sound like David.
So the problem is, here you've got this planet that, again, started out in about the same place in the solar system, made of the same stuff.
It's like you put two chocolate cake mixes in the oven, and one came out chocolate, and one came out lemon in the end.
Now this is important because you could say, well, who cares that Venus went down this alternate path where it's 900 degrees Fahrenheit on the surface.
There's a runaway greenhouse.
Well, we're starting, you know, in the last couple years, we found over 3,000 planets around other stars with our Kepler space telescope.
And what we're looking for is Earth 2.0, this habitable planet around another star.
So this makes us even more curious about Venus.
You had kind of multiple chances in our solar system at habitable planets.
Only the Earth was able to maintain long-term habitability.
Venus might have had an early ocean, lost it.
Although its CO2 is in its atmosphere, it has a runaway greenhouse.
Why?
How hard is it to make Earth 2.0?
Venus can help us figure that out.
Amen.
That's pretty damn cool, I gotta say.
God.
Venus is really cool.
It's the ignored planet of our solar system.
Now, love me some Venus.
It's beautiful in the evening and morning sky.
It is.
Jason de Guzman wants to know this.
What NASA project that is canceled that you wish would be revived?
Easy, easy.
My Titan boat proposal.
I propose to send a floating probe to a sea at the North Pole of one of Saturn's moons to find out, is there anything living in that alien sea?
Someday it will fly.
This is an ocean of liquid methane.
Exactly.
Methane, the gas that comes out of a household stove.
Okay.
If you say so.
Comes out of other places.
Other places.
We'll go with stove.
We'll go with stove.
We'll go with stove.
In the suburbs, it might be propane, but typically in cities, it's methane.
The simplest of the hydrocarbons, if I remember correctly.
CH4.
And it's got an H in four directions.
It's a beautiful molecule, actually.
Only you would see.
This is when I know I am hanging with Neil deGrasse Tyson.
Now, that's a beautiful molecule.
I must say.
Then he turns the magazine long ways and pulls down another panel.
It's like, oh, look at that CH4.
Oh, yeah.
But it's normally gaseous in our lives.
But if you drop the temperature, you liquefy it.
So it's basically a seize of liquid gasoline and totally exotic, very cold.
We don't know if there could be life.
It wouldn't probably be life like life here on Earth.
Maybe life doesn't require liquid water.
Maybe it just requires liquid.
Yeah, and Titan's the place to go to answer that question.
So it got, wait, but it got canceled.
It didn't get selected.
We were one of the final three missions for a discovery selection, and they instead picked a mission to Mars called the Insight, which will launch next year, which will land a seismometer on the surface.
So it's still out.
I mean, the idea is still floating.
The idea is still floating.
The problem is complicated, but it's basically dark.
It's basically dark at Titan's poles during Titan winter, and the big seas are all at the North Pole.
It'll be dark at the North Pole from about the mid-2020s to the early 2030s, so there's no point in going in the dark.
So you lost your window.
We lost our window.
All right.
Oh, well.
It's still going to be there.
It'll be there.
Yeah, I'll be too old, but you know, it'll be there.
We'll know it was your dream when it happens.
And if we continue to train the next generation of people to become scientists and engineers, or as a minimum, to embrace what scientists and engineers do, then this is a recipe to assure that America will become smart once again.
Yes.
Well, let's please hope.
No, hope is what you have when you've confessed you have no impact on the outcome.
Well, that's very good.
Hope and prayer, that's what you do when you're not in control.
Exactly.
Okay, so I'm saying let's get in control, then know you don't have to hope, you don't have to pray.
And when you look at all the people who've been shut out of STEM for so long, and that if we now can get those kids involved in STEM, we're going to have a much larger, more innovative, more creative STEM workforce than we've ever had before.
Science, technology, engineering, and math.
There you go.
STEM.
You've been watching and possibly only listening to StarTalk.
Let's Make America Smart Again edition with Cosmic Queries.
And I've had Ellen Stofan.
Thank you, Ellen, multiple times on StarTalk.
And always great to have you.
Get your insider insights into the past, present and future of NASA.
This is StarTalk.
Welcome, I'm your host, Neil deGrasse Tyson, your personal astrophysicist, and today we're gonna talk about interstellar space travel and what it's like to settle on an exoplanet.
And we're inspired by the YouTube series Origin, which does just that, except they have a badass planet that they go to.
But anyhow, to think about this problem meaningfully, we have Sheyna Gifford.
Sheyna, welcome!
Thank you, Neil!
Yes, an astronaut on Earth who actually experimented under conditions that would resemble a colony settlement on Mars.
Potentially, potentially, although hopefully with more people this time.
With more people than just a few that you did.
We'll get to that in a minute.
We'll make sure I introduce Chuck, nice.
Hey, that's right.
Thanks for coming, Chuck.
Always a pleasure to be here.
We think about things meaningfully with Sheyna and we think about things frivolously with Chuck.
So Sheyna is our lever of gravity.
Chuck is our lever of levity.
Oh.
Only you can make me sound that poetic.
But you're the fulcrum, you're in the wrong spot.
Oh, the fulcrum between the gravity and the levity.
So we want to make sure we explore what it is to survive long space voyages.
What is it to, do you bring stuff to your planet?
Do you use the resources?
What's it like to survive there?
Physically, emotionally?
Psychologically.
It's crowded, man, I'm staying here.
All of this.
So tell me about High Seas 4.
What is that?
I see your patch, it's right there.
Yes, one of the, this is a beautiful patch designed by my very talented crewmate Tristan.
It is beautiful.
It is gorgeous.
The Hawaii space exploration analog and simulation.
And I see the flags of participating countries?
Indeed.
Yeah, the UK, I guess, and United States.
France and Germany.
France and Germany, very nice, yeah, okay.
So what happened there?
Well, I'll tell you what didn't happen.
Did you survive, did you die?
We didn't die.
That's exactly what did not happen.
Importantly, the same six people came out as went in.
The same six.
The same six.
Worst Thunderdome ever.
Six people entered.
Same, same six leave.
Well, they play one of my favorite Dick Gregory jokes back in the 60s when the space program was first coming along.
One of the Mercury capsules came back with the chimp.
And he said, what NASA wasn't telling anybody is that that went up as an astronaut.
Six humans go in, six humans come out.
Very good to know.
Right.
Okay, so what else happened?
The same six.
And where was this?
On the slopes of Mount Aloha, a sacred volcano on the big island of Hawaii.
And is that one of those slopes that's very rocky and it looks like the surface of Mars?
Quite a lot, yes.
So tell me about the challenges.
Of being locked in a dome with five other people, seeing no one else for a year, speaking to no one else for a year.
Sounds like a pretty cool reality show to me.
Let's see what happens when we put five people in a biosphere and see when they get real.
Pretty much from minute two.
Minute one, it was really quiet.
Minute two, the dance party started.
Cool.
And so what happened?
So is all the food, you have to grow your own food?
We did a little bit of that.
There was not enough space to grow food.
Did the Cheetos come in through a hatch?
Please, Pringles.
Pringles.
You know, space is at a premium in space, sadly.
We did not have enough space to grow all our own food.
I actually cultured it.
I made the cheese and the yogurt.
Nice, so that means you brought in bacteria.
We did.
You were not alone.
We were very much not alone.
Plus millions of bacteria.
Plus everything that was in the bathrooms.
Ooh.
Trillions of bacteria.
Okay, all right, sounds like you guys needed a maid.
This is where artificial intelligence comes in.
No sentient being wants to clean those bathrooms.
Some for Breeze.
Indeed.
So this was to simulate what?
What are you trying to do there?
Life on Mars.
Part of the 21 month round trip.
You're gonna go there for nine months.
You're gonna spend some time.
You spend nine months coming back.
Okay, but you still have Earth gravity.
So you're really simulating a trip anywhere of that length.
Well, anywhere of that length with Earth gravity and Earth air pressure.
But the air pressure and the gravity were beside the point.
The point was how did we psychologically deal with the isolation and the confinement?
That was the point.
So now for the entire experiment here on the slope of this volcano, the people were alone?
Like they never had any outside contact?
Just us.
Anytime we wanted to call home, phone home, 20 minute delay on the way to home, 20 minute delay on the way back.
World's most boring Skype conversation.
No witty repartee.
So the light travel time.
So you can't be in love.
Like, you know, I love you.
No, I love you.
Oh, that was actually me and my husband for 366 days.
No, I love you more.
No.
The next day, no.
So they artificially put in the time delay that you would experience being on Mars.
You would experience kind of at the longest.
20, 22 minutes is the long, well, technically infinite is the longest when Mars goes on the other side of the sun and blacks out for a little while, but the longest you would functionally have would be around 20 minutes.
Right, so really, for any meaningful, intense conversation is with your other five folk.
Well, my husband and I did our best with video.
You do your best.
But yeah, with the true life experience.
You're killing me.
Okay, so let's get back to the interpersonal psychological dimension of this.
Sure, sure.
So did people start going crazy after a while?
How long was this episode?
366 day long episode.
So in origin, what is more important when you compare it to your experiment?
More important to have people get along or like in terms of personality meshing or to have something to do because they were trying to solve a mystery.
So everybody was focused on this mystery that they had to solve.
So it's no longer interpersonal.
It's just a common other goal.
Exactly.
We all have a goal now.
What's more important?
Is it better to have people that personality-wise get along or better to keep everybody busy?
Well, I think the mission makes people get along.
One drives the other.
So you're all there with a common goal, makes things happen, the common goal, survive, solve the mystery, whatever interpersonal stuff you had going on before that tends to fade away because you got to solve the mystery.
Interesting.
Got to get in the kitchen.
So that's a restoring force to the interpersonal dynamic.
It's a catalyzing force.
A sustaining force.
Because you have a common enemy.
The common enemy is the things that wants to kill you all.
That would be space and everything in it.
I gotta tell you, you are not a good advertise for interstellar travel.
Only the strong, Chuck.
Only the strong.
Antarctica, it's not giving you a warm hug, right?
You're rolling in there with your tools and your homies.
You're making it happen.
See, I'm gonna interstellar travel when they have a W that doubles as a spaceship.
A W hotel that doubles as a spaceship and you wake up at noon and have pancakes.
Chuck is going to space only when room service is available.
Bigelow is building a hotel for you, Chuck.
So these distances are quite large.
So if I understand, is Thea five light years from Earth?
Five light years from Earth.
Yeah, so if you go at the speed of the very fastest spaceships we've ever launched, it would take you 70,000 years to get there.
Yeah.
So it is incommensurate with human physiology.
Okay, so.
So let's try to go faster now.
So tell me about solar sails.
Solar sails will look great when you're near a star.
So when you're at the solar farm.
Yes, and the interstellar bit, it can get a bit hairy.
You might want some other form of propulsion along for the ride.
Or you'd have to be really fertile.
Right.
Because it would be a generational ship.
Just procreating as you go.
Right.
Right.
I'd be pissed off if I were born and they said, you're just here to carry on till you die.
That's right.
You're generation number 20.
And we're going to generation 5,000.
I'd be angry if I learned that.
I'd be hurting somebody on the ship.
Wait a minute, you mean I'm a placeholder?
How should we get where we're going?
You're a cog in the machine.
Until someone else gets where this is supposed to go.
Yeah, so these are challenges.
They are.
So let me ask you this then.
So they were using solar sails and they also had some kind of propulsion system as well.
Definitely.
But what if you were, that propulsion system got you towards close to the speed of light?
And then now you're just looking at basically five years, but would you still not age at that point?
If you do the math, it's five years for us watching you go there, but it's not five years for you.
It's much less time.
Much less time.
Depending on how close to the speed of light you hit, you go 90% the speed of light.
I'd have to run the math, but you could end up living three years or two years rather than five.
That's it.
So, and you do it at near the speed of light, takes you a couple of hours.
Yeah.
So, but the problem is by the time you come back, you know, you're maybe a year older and everyone else is 20 years older or 30 years old, and everyone would have forgotten about you.
So, we also care that the planet is in a Goldilocks zone.
It is.
And, but you don't have to actually be in a Goldilocks zone.
True.
Okay?
Goldilocks zone where you're not too close.
Your water evaporates, not too far away, it freezes, because a programmed greenhouse effect can heat your planet, even though you would otherwise be farther away than the Goldilocks zone.
You trap your heat.
The Goldilocks zone is a calculation.
Right.
Assuming that you sort of radiate all the energy that hits you.
Right.
But if you trap some of that energy, you can boost your temperature a little higher.
Okay, so you wouldn't, you don't have to exactly be in the space that is just right.
It's a reference point.
It's a reference stanza.
There's a buffer on either side.
Right.
So now here's the thing.
This there, which is the planet, right, is I would say, think of, think of Fiji or Tahiti.
It's the Caribbean.
It's the Caribbean.
Of the extrasolar planet.
Of the extrasolar planet.
It's the Caribbean exoplanet, all right.
It's gorgeous.
So like, where would that be in the Gordy Lock Zone?
Or would it make a difference?
Smack dab and.
But what you also want to know is, it's one thing for a planet to be there, but other things affect your climate.
Like, what is the tip of the axis of the planet?
What is the shape of the orbit?
Does it spend time very close to the host star, very far away?
So how elliptical is the orbit?
All of this factors in.
When you factor all that in for Earth, you get ice ages.
Right.
It's called the Milankovitch.
The Milankovitch, that's right.
Yeah, so in fact, civilization on Earth, as we've come to know it and love it, rose up at a relatively stable climactic conduct for Earth over the last 10,000 years.
Relatively stable.
That had been an ice age the whole time.
But we, you know, that means nothing for us.
We're human beings.
We don't care, you know what I mean?
We kill something and put it around our bodies and say, all right, forget winter, we're good.
So here's the thing.
Here's what I can imagine a future.
Here's a future I want, you ready?
It doesn't matter what the exoplanet is.
You just bring in the machines.
That terraform it, whatever the hell you want it to be.
You want the Caribbean?
Yeah, it is.
You got the Caribbean.
You got the Caribbean.
You like New York City?
You want New York?
Make it New York.
The climate, you want the Sahara because you want to make it the Sahara.
And what would be cool is, if you could do that on a short time scale, so then your planet is your playpen.
You want a tailor-made universe.
Tailor-made planets.
I'm liking it now.
Very, very, very cool.
Let's go into business.
When do we start this travel agency?
Forget the holodeck from Star Trek.
We get the real deck, right?
We're gonna leave this life of science and crime and go make planets.
So, at solar sails, can they get you there in a short amount of time?
Acceleration is not very fast.
They'll help you speed up and possibly slow down, but they alone will not get you there in a short amount of time, no.
Right, it takes a long time to speed up.
What you could do is put out your solar sail and then use lasers to speed up the way that the StarShot program wants to do.
Yeah, but the lasers can't be on your ship.
No, these would be fired from Earth or Moon or something else.
I saw a cartoon when I was a kid and the character was in a sailboat and the sailboat wasn't going anywhere so he just pulled out a fan and then boom.
And I thought to myself, no, even though I hadn't taken physics yet, I said something's not right there.
If that could work, holy, whoa.
Right, exactly.
If that could work, the world would have been discovered a long time ago.
There is a slight version of that that might work if as you're going through space, you pull matter in the front of your ship and spit it out the back.
That will also.
That's called a warp engine though, right?
That's called it.
Ion propulsion.
Space and time is warped.
You pull matter in the front, you stick it out the back, and so yeah, use what you find.
NC2 resource utilization.
So tell me about that now.
So ISRU, you can't guarantee that every planet is gonna have everything you need.
No.
So you gotta bring the Cheetos with you.
You definitely don't wanna leave home without those.
Okay, so you have to picky as you pick your plant.
Make sure there's water.
You need to breathe, you need fuel.
You need to feed the plants.
Yeah, it's a good starting point.
H2O and O2.
Right.
At a bare minimum.
Plus anything you can put in a 3D printer that will make more stuff, that stuff is good too.
Right.
So here's how you do it.
You'd rank your needs based on how quickly you would die without it.
So.
That's a good, I like those.
So oxygen, you're dead in 10 minutes.
Okay, we need that.
So you need that.
That's number one.
Water, you're dead in a week.
I'm gonna make that number two.
Food, you're dead in a month or two months.
All right.
Right, unless you were really fat and then you just sort of worked that down.
Right.
Hey, I'm down on my target weight.
Thank goodness.
This trip has been very successful.
So it seems to me that's how you might prioritize that.
You might, you also just might prioritize where you can talk back to Earth from.
I mean, do you want to go away and never speak to anyone you've ever known again?
I like that, yes.
You do.
That's one of your major motivating factors.
Okay, very good.
Yeah, I mean, closer the better, right?
I suppose, but that's if, I would think people who want to leave don't want to come back and don't care about who they left behind.
When I think of the European explorers and-
The pilgrims.
Pilgrims, do they care?
What the hell is going back at home?
I don't think so.
I mean, I think-
Many of them were persecuted, they just got the hell out.
Many of them, including people to whom I was related, I think actually the point was to go make a place better and habitable for the people you loved and left behind and bring them to.
I mean, that's-
I was gonna say, we call that America.
We do.
And who make the best colonists, really?
Are people who can go long distance, happy with not a lot of stuff, work really hard for not a lot of money, make life comfortable on not a lot.
So, those are the space colonists you want.
And that's the point.
There's a difference between astronauts who are professionals, who function in a very highly regulated environment.
And we are trained to function in just that environment.
And colonists who are there to build a world.
And they have to function in any environment that gets thrown at them.
Correct.
Yes.
We gotta end it there.
Whoa, this is good.
This is serious.
I like this.
Can we like bring you back again for some stuff?
Twist my arm, Chuck.
I'm twisting it.
I love talking to people who like try to like live in space because space kills you.
Anyway, this has been StarTalk and I've been your host, Neil deGrasse Tyson.
Thanks to Sheyna Gifford.
Thank you.
Good.
Chuck Nice.
Always a pleasure.
As always, and I bid you to keep looking up.
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